At the margin they reinforced our growing sense that Fed tightening might stop before the federal funds rate reaches the 5 percent level we are currently forecasting.

Parry's comments hint that the Fed still views the neutral level of the federal-funds rate to be approximately two percentage points above the inflation rate,

It defies common sense and lots of careful research to think that the highest-rated credit on the planet can borrow half a trillion dollars a year without pushing aside some private investment and ultimately hurting productivity growth.

Simply because the Fed is maintaining an accommodative monetary policy position doesn't mean they keep the fed funds rate at one percent indefinitely,

Those who expect further rate hikes can note that the real Fed Funds rate has yet to reach at least 3 percent, ... But with oil prices rising 58 percent since last June (when rates started to rise) and with U.S. manufacturing nearing contraction, the bond market is telling the Fed that it had better not raise rates further.

There is no operating manual that says what a neutral fed funds rate is, but the Fed knows that it's higher than 3 percent,