If he doesn't achieve 40 or 45 percent, maybe more, he will not be judged a winner in Iowa,

If he doesn't achieve 40 or 45 percent, maybe more, he will not be judged a winner in Iowa. On the other hand, if Steve Forbes breaks 25 to 30 percent, the press will be saying there's a second challenger in New Hampshire.

I still believe many will not show up at the caucuses because they figure Bush has it all wrapped up.

The nature of the game is meeting your expectations. If if you meet your expectations, you are a winner. If you exceed your expectations, you're a winner. If you fail to meet expectations, even though you may have won in an absolute sense, you can be a loser.

In politics, if you win by an insufficient score, you may be a loser,

They are two very different cultures that hold very different political contests. It's little wonder they would often come to different conclusions,