It was a respectable day. But after the (Fed) decision tomorrow, I think we can do better. I think the Street is braced for a no-rate-cut, no-rate-hike move from the Fed.
Larry Wachtel
Related It gives the Federal Reserve more leeway to cut rates. But I don't believe that a BOJ rate cut means... JOHN LONSKI It gives the Federal Reserve more leeway to cut rates, ... But I don't believe that a BOJ rate cut m... JOHN LONSKI I don't think the Fed are going to signal any kind of pause in rate increases next week. There's no ... IAN GUNNER As long as the Fed keeps raising rates, yields are going to move higher. The Fed decision definitely... JOSEPH SHATZ If (Alan) Greenspan were still leading the Fed, there would be more confidence in another rate hike.... ANDY WHITAKER The Fed rate hike and statement has largely been digested by the market. JEFF YOUNG There is no operating manual that says what a neutral fed funds rate is, but the Fed knows that it's... MARK VITNER We think the Fed will continue cutting rates, although less aggressively. We are expecting another [... BRUCE STEINBERG I think (Fed Chairman) Alan Greenspan has made it all but official, we'll get another rate cut in Ju... WAYNE AYERS The chances of a rate hike will underpin the dollar. Even though the Fed is coming to the end of its... BESA DEDA If you look back to 1994 when the Fed was hiking rates continuously, after every rate hike the Fed a... HARVINDER KALIRAI I don't think anyone expects any fireworks from the Fed tomorrow but it's normal to have a pause bef... CHARLES PAYNE The markets have probably been too quick to connect the dots from the current slew of good data stra... LARA RHAME There is no sign of the economy slowing and that's bad for the Treasury market. We're not expecting ... HIROKI SHIMAZU We now believe that the first Fed rate hike will not come until December, and we continue to worry t... JOE ABATE What I think this means is that the Fed waited maybe for the stock market to go up a little and then... JOSEPH LAVORGNA The Fed is close to the end of its rate hike cycle while the ECB is just beginning, which removes su... CARSTEN FRITSCH If anyone was still expecting a Fed rate cut before, they're certainly going to throw that out the w... COREY REDFIELD I think the chance of a double-dip recession is remote. We have a lot of stimulus in the pipeline fr... GLENN HUBBARD We believe that the US Fed will make its final rate hike in the current cycle at the Jan 31 FOMC mee... DAISUKE UNO The market has to make its mind up what the Fed rate cut means. JANE FOLEY Everyone wants to get through the Fed with the affirmation. The consensus in the marketplace is no m... BILL HORNBARGER After the Fed comes out with its rate hike, and when it communicates to the market that it's satisfi... ASHRAF LAIDI It's a neutral to a decent number. I don't think this number adds to the argument that the Fed is st... RICHARD FRANULOVICH We've been very encouraged by the action today; even after the economic numbers came out, we've seen... HEDI REYNOLDS It looks increasingly like the Fed rate hike cycle is coming to an end, and that's been the focus. .... CHARMAINE BUSKAS Given the market is looking for another rate hike at the end-March FOMC meeting, it seems likely tha... ASHLEY DAVIES I think there was a knee-jerk reaction on the part of market participants who were hoping and wantin... DENNIS FERRO Everyone knew the Fed was going to come in and do something sooner or later, ... We're no longer spe... JOHN MANLEY The stock is really looking ahead to better times down the road. We're expecting of course a Fed rat... JAMES SCHMIDT The market reacted exactly the way they wanted it to, which was to flatten the yield curve. I think ... LARA RHAME Interest-rate support for the Australian dollar will lessen quite substantially as the year progress... NICK BENNENBROEK We are going for a flat market in aggregate for next year, with a bit of upside in the first quarter... BEN FUNNELL We are going for a flat market in aggregate for next year, with a bit of upside in the first quarter... BEN FUNNELL We got the worst possible scenario today: no rate cut, but confirmation that there is weakness. Howe... TIM SMALLS It was a very strong report. It shows the rate hikes engineered by the Fed so far have had little or... MIKE RYAN The Fed is on hold indefinitely. It doesn't mean they won't make another move this year, but there i... DAVID RESLER I don't think there is a tremendous amount the Fed can do, but they can't stay on the sidelines. Unl... LARA RHAME I think it is a quarter of a point move up, but a neutral stance by the Fed, opening up the way I th... JOSEPH BATTIPAGLIA What can the Fed do about WorldCom? This is not an interest rate problem. This is not something they... DIANE SWONK There is no way Maine?s working families can afford this rate hike. KURT ADAMS We expect a hike of 25 basis points and probably 50 basis pints, ... Any smaller rate hike or no rat... CARL WEINBERG We expect a hike of 25 basis points and probably 50 basis pints. Any smaller rate hike or no rate hi... CARL WEINBERG I think they'll (the Fed) move at the meeting but I think the market is grasping at any straws you c... CHUCK HILL It's extremely bad and this is bearish for the U.S. dollar. This will definitely shift expectations ... KATHY LIEN It's extremely bad and this is bearish for the U.S. dollar, ... This will definitely shift expectati... KATHY LIEN A lot of the gains are due to the earnings story. I think the market can deal with one or two more i... BARRY HYMAN Recent economic indicators show a lackluster economic climate. And that led to the surprise 50-basis... FRANK NOTHAFT We think the bank has left the door open for a pause in October, but a rate hike would follow in Dec... CARL GOMEZ Yes, Greenspan does admit the obvious, that the real federal funds rate has risen considerably, but ... ANTHONY CHAN The market was largely supported by the property sector as interest rate worries eased after the rel... CASTOR PANG Those who expect further rate hikes can note that the real Fed Funds rate has yet to reach at least ... ASHRAF LAIDI There's probably not enough indication that the Fed is ready to end (rate increases) to help the sto... BENJAMIN PACE It (the jobless rate) is probably at or slightly below the level the Fed is thinking is full employm... ELISABETH DENISON The Fed is likely to make no change in its rate policy because it still see risks in the economic ou... RICHARD RIPPE It's unclear when the Fed will stop raising interest rates. Even if the rate hike comes to an end, H... LOUIS WONG The Fed is toward the end of its rate hikes. Equities and bonds got a bid because the Fed talked abo... JOSEPH LAVORGNA This report underscores or emphasizes that the Fed would be quite well justified for easing policy a... PAUL CHRISTOPHER I still think (the Fed) will cut 50 basis points next week. BILL HORNBARGER I do think that a rate cut is coming, more likely toward the end of the year when we see some of the... KATHLEEN CAMILLI The numbers are very favorable in terms of indicating that inflationary pressures are very subdued. ... MARILYN SCHAJA He's telling you the Fed's probably got more room to continue to hike, but inflation is not going to... JAMES CARON Not only is the economy slowing but it is a reminder that inflation risks diminish as the economy sl... PAUL CHRISTOPHER As the expectation is growing that the US Fed may end the rate hike cycle as early as its March meet... DAISUKE UNO The ECB probably won't do very much, maybe one or two rate hikes, and if the Fed keeps tightening th... BESA DEDA With those few, clear words, the May rate hike is off the table, and I'm not even sure about June. I... ELGA BARTSCH The market is speculating that the Fed may keep going. The interest rate in Canada right now lags be... STEVE BUTLER My impression is that the market is correctly anticipating that the Fed is close to being finished w... JASON TRENNERT The market has believed that next year the Fed will ease down while the ECB amps up its rate hike cy... GREG SALVAGGIO It comes down to rate fears. The Fed is going to have to get pretty aggressive. We're quite worried ... TERRENCE GABRIEL A cut...won't affect the 30-year fixed mortgage rate at all. According to Freddie Mac, the 30-year f... LAWRENCE YUN Fed and ECB rate hikes should not present a liquidity problem for equity markets. LARS KRECKEL The market is still concerned about the interest rate and whether the Fed is on a possible pause. IAN STANNARD But no work from a first rate mind is ever really second rate. GERALD FINZI For the Fed, continuing 25-basis-point rate hikes seem to be the best bet. ELISABETH DENISON The real short-term outlook for us is pretty positive given that we don't see a Fed rate hike in Aug... CHRIS WOLFE Simply because the Fed is maintaining an accommodative monetary policy position doesn't mean they ke... MIKE RYAN We've been wanting him to do that since Day 1. I think he was fed up. JEFF TURNER The question is: Will we get to a 4.25 percent fed funds rate in December?. If we do, then two-year ... ERIC HILLER The easing the Fed has already done has had a focused and limited effect, mainly on sales of homes a... EDWARD MCKELVEY We think that almost all central banks in the region are likely to take a breather from the rate hik... DONG TAO The residual impact from the Fed is definitely positive for the dollar. The Fed message is clearly a... BORIS SCHLOSSBERG The residual impact from the Fed is definitely positive for the dollar. The Fed message is clearly a... BORIS SCHLOSSBERG Overall, in the short term this is not going to deter the Fed from continuing its measured rate tigh... ALEX BEUZELIN The market is beginning to price the end of the (Fed) rate hiking cycle in. LARS KRECKEL It was a great number, no question about it. The worst-case scenario (now) is that the Fed only goes... JOEL KENT This is not something that Fed officials want to see, and there may be a serious discussion within t... JEFF THREDGOLD Yes, I think it's going to be a fantastic buy. I think we're going to pack the whole year's Super Bo... ROBERT ROBBINS I think the Fed is going to raise interest rates over the rest of this year. I think it will go up a... FRANKLIN RAINES The current fed fund rate of 4.50 percent seems to be serving as a floor for the 10-year yield. HIDEHIKO MAEJIMA I think they are. I think that the Fed either finished its tightening for this cycle, or it has 25 b... CHARLES CRANE The Fed will probably slow the pace of interest-rate hikes after October. Should the reports signal ... TETSU AIKAWA Movements in the unemployment rate will tell Fed officials whether growth is absorbing unused capaci... ED MCKELVEY He's been very clear. The Fed may take a pause for a month or two, but that doesn't mean it's the en... ART HOGAN [The economic recovery] sure looks to be here, but once [Fed officials] recognize that fact, rates, ... JOEL NAROFF We primarily see dollar strength because we're expecting one to two more rate hikes from the Fed. Al... KATHY LIEN I believe the exchange rate could have a small reaction (to the rate hike). If the peso opened today... EDUARDO ORPIS I think the markets expect just about any outcome, though I don't think an ECB or a Swedish rate hik... PHYLLIS REED Now market participants are saying that investors should expect range bound trading to continue into... ANGUS CAMPBELL My grandmother raised me. She was a real no-nonsense but very funny lady. I drove tractors, made hay... CAROL BARTZ
More Larry Wachtel
It's not like stocks are sitting there unloved. They have done well. LARRY WACHTEL The highest bid always won. LARRY WACHTEL The bottom line is really the bottom line [on income statements] in the stock market and earnings ju... LARRY WACHTEL I think the market has done quite well in what is supposed to be the worst month of the year, but at... LARRY WACHTEL Translated, the Microsoft ruling was a major event, but it was so predictable as to have little imme... LARRY WACHTEL Rising long rates threaten the bellwether housing industry as well as consumer spending. The higher ... LARRY WACHTEL When you see this kind of quick move, that's a mechanical sell program from one of the brokerages, LARRY WACHTEL I'm really amazed [The market] is getting tired, but invariably in the last hour of trading there's ... LARRY WACHTEL The market is plagued by warnings. There have been over 500 negative preannouncements in the last fo... 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LARRY NORMAN I feel that Christian music is a subculture directed towards the Christians. It's not really bei... LARRY NORMAN I'm only here on Earth to serve God. I never had a career. I don't care about commercialism.... LARRY NORMAN We need worship for our spirit, fellowship for our soul and committed subservience for our body. LARRY NORMAN But... watching Steven Barnes taught me to treat my life like an art form. LARRY NIVEN I do not believe they've run out of surprises. LARRY NIVEN SF isn't a genre; SF is the matrix in which genres are embedded, and because the SF field is nev... LARRY NIVEN My problem with new writers is that it takes me five or six years to memorise the right names. LARRY NIVEN I've got five or six unpublished stories kicking around looking for somebody to buy them. LARRY NIVEN In general, I don't know when inspiration will pop up. LARRY NIVEN We should not have assumed that a political space station could be built. LARRY NIVEN I'm not predicting; I just love playing with superconductors. LARRY NIVEN I love superconductors. LARRY NIVEN Treat your life like something to be sculpted. LARRY NIVEN I've spent a lot of my life among people brighter than myself. LARRY NIVEN I'd visit the near future, close enough that someone might want to talk to Larry Niven and can f... LARRY NIVEN I don't have a strong interest in history. LARRY NIVEN Anything beats an expensive stack of paper. LARRY NIVEN We're looking as far ahead as we can, and we don't get penalized for mistakes. LARRY NIVEN I'd repair our education system or replace it with something that works. LARRY NIVEN I do suspect that privacy was a passing fad. LARRY NIVEN I never got good at predicting what millions of people will suddenly decide is rational. LARRY NIVEN As for AIDS, it's a plague. We are human, we get plagues. They come along every so often, kill o... LARRY NIVEN Bruce Sterling is one terrific writer and he's relatively new, but I don't know how long he&... LARRY NIVEN Building one space station for everyone was and is insane: we should have built a dozen. LARRY NIVEN In hindsight it may even seem inevitable that a socialist society will starve when it runs out of ca... LARRY NIVEN Everything starts as somebody's daydream. LARRY NIVEN The dinosaurs became extinct because they didn't have a space program. LARRY NIVEN I was asleep, in the upstairs bedroom, in the rear of the house. There was this tremendous crash, th... LARRY MILLER Manufacturers are making products kosher to get in on that market, plus more people are looking for ... LARRY MILLER Women say they have sexual thoughts too. They have no idea. It's the difference between shooting... LARRY MILLER Members of the Academy are mostly urban people. We are an urban nation. We are not a rural nation. I... LARRY MCMURTRY Self-parody is the first portent of age. LARRY MCMURTRY Americans don't want cowboys to be gay. LARRY MCMURTRY You expect far too much of a first sentence. Think of it as analogous to a good country breakfast: w... LARRY MCMURTRY If we know anything about man, it's that he's not pacific. The temptation to butcher anyone ... LARRY MCMURTRY True maturity is only reached when a man realizes he has become a father figure to his girlfriends... LARRY MCMURTRY No illusion is more crucial than the illusion that great success and huge money buy you immunity fro... LARRY MCMURTRY