It's not likely, but I can see the math.

I'm not terribly swayed by polls at this point.

Does it win them new voters _ probably not, ... but it does solidify their bases.

No one wants to read a math book.

It's not hard to do the math

... I succeeded at math, at least by the usual evaluation criteria: grades. Yet while I might have earned top marks in geometry and algebra, I was merely following memorized rules, plugging in numbers and dutifully crunching out answers by rote, with no real grasp of the significance of what I was doing or its usefulness in solving real-world problems. Worse, I knew the depth of my own ignorance, and I lived in fear that my lack of comprehension would be discovered and I would be exposed as an academic fraud -- psychologists call this "imposter syndrome".