They walked into the convention very unified and, in the process, drove away a lot of conservative Democrats.

If this environment holds, you have to assume it's going to tip for the Democrats.

This does not mean that Democrats are soaring with newfound respect from the voters. ... They have done little to project themselves as having the solutions to the nation's problems.

When Republicans represent moderate districts, they become less conservative just as Democrats representing conservative districts become less liberal. The least conservative Republican members — Mike Fitzpatrick, Jim Gerlach and Curt Weldon — all represent suburban Philadelphia districts, where the voters tend to be more moderate.

Democrats scratch their heads and can't figure out why he keeps winning. They don't understand how someone so conservative and brash can win in Pennsylvania, a centrist, light-blue state where moderates prevail.

New Hampshire Democrats have trended more liberal over the last decade, ... There are fewer and fewer working-class, conservative Democrats out there to go after. Those might be the people most attracted to him.