This current episode started in 1995, when we had 11 hurricanes. Normal is six. This year we expect nine to 11.

It's got similar characteristics, except it's just a little lower in latitude. The issue is what happens when it gets out over the very warm waters of the central Gulf.

Some assets were impacted for six to nine months from Ivan last year because things like underwater landslides affected pipelines once the storm had passed. Shell is taking the brunt of the storm this time.

The second year is when you expect a full recovery.

The hurricanes distorted a very good year.

We're not sure yet if this is a normal episode or not.