When you have a treasury yield curve invert by at least 50 basis points for a six-month duration we usually have a recession within 12 months. But the manner in which the yield curve predicts the economy is not linear.

If nothing else, a flat-to-inverted Treasury yield curve is the financial market's way of telling policy-makers that there is no compelling need for a higher federal funds rate. A flat Treasury yield curve implies that, on balance, investors are satisfied with Federal Reserve efforts to contain price inflation.

There is no better mix for the housing outlook than to have benchmark Treasury yields decline amid an improving employment situation, ... So I think it's going to be a better than expected year for housing.

There's a disconnect between buyers and sellers. Sellers tend to be about at least six months behind the curve.

it's important to make that show. You have to go away for at least a month and then do an interview with a talk show.

She's been baking for a month at least.