While most of us are comfortable acknowledging that luck plays a role in what we do, we have difficulty assessing its role after the fact. Once something has occurred and we can put together a story to explain it, it starts to seem like the outcome was predestined. Statistics don't appeal to our need to understand cause and effect, which is why they are so frequently ignored or misinterpreted. Stories, on the other hand, are a rich means to communicate precisely because they emphasize cause and effect.
Michael J. Mauboussin
Related The FDA is a cautious regulatory body, and they need to be cautious. On the other hand, it can cause... DR. CATHERINE BIRNDORF If we all look at life we think how nice, then we look at death and everybody goes oh you can say th... GARY F EVANS... It's a lie to think that you are not good enough. It's a lie to think that you are not beautiful. It... DISON ARNIBAL The words you can’t find, you borrow. We read to know we’re not alone. We read because w... GABRIELLE ZEVIN 35. God is entitled to a portion of our income—not because He needs it but because we need to give... JAMES C. DOBSON Each of us views life through a different lens. What we think is colored by the baggage we carry, an... LAURIE BUCHANAN, PHD Outside... we are just nobody... you could meet me outside... but it doesn't mean that I am DeYtH Ba... DEYTH BANGER I like to open for a band as it brings on sort of a challenge and it makes things more interesting. ... KELLY JONES I cannot remember the books I've read any more than the meals I have eaten; even so, they have made ... RALPH WALDO EMERSON He may effect us directly by His Spirit, with the force of a thunderbolt, or He may choose to woo us... KENNETH L. PIKE Most of us think we're too busy or too important to rest for a day. CRAIG GROESCHEL We are far from perfect but willing to be different. CRAIG GROESCHEL A Ritual to Read to Each Other If you don’t know the kind of person I am and... WILLIAM STAFFORD A couple of customers interrupted [...] who wanted to know if we had some YA book about ants and ali... SHAUN DAVID HUTCHINSON Studies [on the origin of fairy-stories] are, however, scientific (at least in intent); they are the... J.R.R. TOLKIEN That's why we seize the moment try to freeze it and own it, squeeze it and hold it. EMINEM It was pivotal in making you but you don't remember it. Or do you? Do we understand the events that ... DOUGLAS COUPLAND How lucky I am to have known somebody and something that saying goodbye to is so damned awful. EVANS G. VALENS The conundrum we are in is there are no clear answers as to a cause and effect. MEG GRAHAM To all facts there are laws,
The effect has its cause, and I mount to the cause. LORD LYTTON (EDWARD ROBERT BULWER LYTTON) ("OWEN MEREDITH") The scenes in our life resemble pictures in a rough mosaic; they are ineffective from close up, and ... ARTHUR SCHOPENHAUER The universe is so vast, so immense, we can never expect to explore it all. It is in effect, not so ... CHRISTINA ENGELA In order to honor God with your wealth, you first have to admit that you are rich. Most people won't... CRAIG GROESCHEL We ask the kids, what's your job? What's your role? What are you trying to do? The girls are buying ... JEFF DAY Maybe instead of strings it's stories things are made of, an infinite number of tiny vibrating stori... PAUL MURRAY We ordinary citizens do have a role to play. While individually it isn't a big role, if many of us g... BRENDA STEWART We may not get to choose how we die, but we can chose how we live. The universe may for... SHAUN DAVID HUTCHINSON Dreams are hopeful because they exist as pure possibility. Unlike memories, which are fossils, long ... SHAUN DAVID HUTCHINSON When it's clear that we have a commitment to God that comes before anything else in our lives, most ... CRAIG GROESCHEL I am aware that everyone that exists has a story, and we all exist because that story is important f... ARZELL Dae FATE NAYAE Nanagha Vandhuttoom Da, Sandy , Na Nata, London Lass,Russian Grapes, Ellorum Ippa Van... SATHESH KUMAR M Social economic problems do not exist everywhere that an economic event plays a role as cause or eff... MAX WEBER It looks like dogs really do understand what we are trying to tell them, they are thinking about wha... BRIAN HARE According to the Law of Cause and Effect, every effect must have a cause. In other words, everything... RAY COMFORT Some people never take a chance and never know what it's like to live life to the full. CHLOE THURLOW What love is it, then, that has no need of words to call us? In whose image are we made, to take suc... CHRISTIAN BOBIN So, tomorrow, I'm leaving. And I'm not going to let that happen again with anyone else. I'm going to... STEPHEN CHBOSKY Eventually I came across another passage. This is what it said: I am not commanding you, but I ... NICHOLAS SPARKS To kill a mockingbird. If you haven't read it, I think you should because it is very interesting. STEPHEN CHBOSKY I will never forget the vision of Jamie walking towards me. NICHOLAS SPARKS As these images were going through my head, my breathing suddenly went still. I looked at Jamie, the... NICHOLAS SPARKS You don't have to learn much out of books, it's like if you want to learn about cows, you go milk on... HARPER LEE You can't really get to know a person until you get in their shoes and walk around in them. HARPER LEE People who are buying [passes] are asking why the price is more, but once we explain our reasoning t... JAKE CHANIN Destiny consist in the moments that we experienced, and not in the choices we have to do. DANIEL MELGAçO A new day is here! yesterday is gone! tomorrow is preparing to come! but why is today here? ERNEST AGYEMANG YEBOAH In order to understand why one chooses to be a Tantric practitioner, there has to be an understandin... ZEENA SCHRECK Quantum fluctuations are, at their root, completely a-causal, in the sense that cause and effect and... STEN F. ODENWALD Fitting in is about assessing a situation and becoming who you need to be to be accepted. Belonging,... BRENé BROWN Clearly, unless the Lord chooses to explain Himself to us, which He does not often do, His motivatio... JAMES C. DOBSON We do not have information that gives us a direct cause and effect link to any particular product. DANIEL SCHULTZ We may claim to believe in God, but we don't want to believe so much that it makes us different. CRAIG GROESCHEL I think the effect it would have would be a longer term effect, a more positive effect on other camp... MATT KELLER 2. Overcommitment and time pressure are the greatest destroyers of marriages. It takes time to devel... JAMES C. DOBSON It is common error to infer that things which are consecutive in order of time have necessarily the ... JACOB BIGELOW The challenge is in identifying the cause. The effect identifies itself. KENDALL F. PERSON Bad results are the symptoms not the causes. JOHN LEACH If others tell us something we make assumptions, and if they don't tell us something we make assumpt... MIGUEL RUIZ We tried to single out which of the components of the diet are driving its effect, but none of them ... DR NIKOLAOS SCARMEAS We tried to single out which of the components of the diet are driving its effect, but none of them ... DR. NIKOLAOS SCARMEAS We say it is "explanation" but it is only in "description" that we are in advance of the older stage... FRIEDRICH NIETZSCHE The pivotal role ETS plays in international student admissions is not something we take lightly. It ... PAUL RAMSEY It is only the society that are being taught the power of cause and effect that becomes strong and r... SUNDAY ADELAJA As soon as we put together our proposal, which will include what we are going to use the funds for, ... IAN REID We know how it ends practically before it starts. That's why stories appeal to us. They give us the ... ANNE BISHOP Because you can only die once but you can suffer forever. SHAUN DAVID HUTCHINSON What the British seem to like are television historians and naturalists, not public intellectuals. Y... WILL SELF We cherish martyrs not because they died for truth, but because they died for what they believed in ... BANGAMBIKI HABYARIMANA I thank God for schools that are serious about the gospel of Jesus Christ. They are vital to perpetu... JAMES C. DOBSON Everyone always says how I'm so smart, but they don't know what it's like being me. always feeling l... SUSANE COLASANTI Humans are a story telling species. Throughout history we have told stories to each other and oursel... NATHAN MYHRVOLD We have all played together for so long. We have a lot of chemistry. We know how each other plays an... JANIS PARDY The market is still waiting for HSBC results, which will have a big impact on the direction of the m... ANDREW TO Property shares had a technical rebound, but interest rate concerns will still affect properties unt... ANDREW TO Bank of China's results were quite good; double-digit growth can be taken as good results for a bank... ANDREW TO The index tried to challenge 18,000 but failed, so that triggered profit taking. Tokyo's slide also ... ANDREW TO Trading seems to be focusing on selective counters because investors are cautious amid interest rate... ANDREW TO We're seeing a minor technical rebound after Wall Street rebounded from two days of losses. The key ... ANDREW TO Some investors have returned to pick up the stock at bargain prices. ANDREW TO I think the take-up for the placement is not too good and other property developers may be discourag... ANDREW TO We are afraid that our freedoms and liberties will be infringed in the future. ANDREW TO I think there was some minor selling pressure on telecom stocks as the market continued to see a wea... ANDREW TO Friendship is a double-edged sword one side it can be great and true but the other side it spells be... GARY F EVANS... Most of us tend to be swayed by what we read. Judges are not superhuman. They, too, are mortals. Thi... KAPIL SIBAL We convince ourselves that happiness is an effect; that there has to be cause for it. That makes hap... R. N. PRASHER The reason why I like theater is because it's a long journey, and no matter what role you play, ... CONDOLA RASHAD What will happen if we go to 0 day? ... Everything has been wipe out from the techno... DEYTH BANGER Of course we do, ... I know that it is going to be difficult, but we are by no means out of it. Our ... DENNIS SETZER The scientific method gives us
information by testing and repeating observable things so that we
can... LEWIS N. ROE This is going to be the most special dinner we have ever had. We always wanted to do something like ... GARY POWERS We want to develop a battery that has a graceful failure - meaning that if it's damaged, it won't ca... DAN DOUGHTY Like life, what gives a story its meaning is the fact that it ends. Our stories have lives of their ... FRANCESCA ZAPPIA The notion of "cause and effect" is sometimes useful in real life, and it can even be interesting in... KEVIN MCPHERSON ECKHOFF I've always believed there are moments in our lives which can be defined as a transition between the... BENJAMIN X. WRETLIND They have to understand what it took and they finally are starting to do that. Now, we need two thin... BOBBI VANDENBERG Our objectives are one and the same, ... If the protesters took a moment to understand what we do th... JAMES WOLFENSOHN Life, its so great, but when we act like shit and do shit, then it aint. Why should we act like that... TUPAC SHAKUR We look at the way some kids behave and instantly blame the parents, and more often than not we’re... KARL WIGGINS What is music? What does it do to us? And why does it do to us what it does? People say that music h... LEO TOLSTOY Air is approximately 21% oxygen, our brains feed off of oxygen. So basically we are all airheads. ANDONI GARCIA
More Michael J. Mauboussin
Family is not an important thing. It's everything. MICHAEL J. FOX I find as long as I acknowledge the truth of something, then that's it. I know what it is and th... MICHAEL J. FOX In fact, Parkinson's has made me a better person. A better husband, father and overall human bei... MICHAEL J. FOX Discipline is just doing the same thing the right way whether anyone's watching or not. MICHAEL J. FOX The moment I understood this - that my Parkinson's was the one thing I wasn't going to chang... MICHAEL J. FOX The laughs mean more to me than the adoration. If two girls walk up to me and one says 'you'... MICHAEL J. FOX The more I expect, the more unhappy I am going to be. The more I accept, the more serene I am. MICHAEL J. FOX My happiness grows in direct proportion to my acceptance, and in inverse proportion to my expectatio... MICHAEL J. FOX I like to encourage people to realize that any action is a good action if it's proactive and the... MICHAEL J. 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FOX In New York, the Mets are winning the World Series in 1969; that was pretty big, but I would say the... MICHAEL J. MASSIMINO The sense of respiration is an example of our natural sense relationship with the atmospheric matrix... MICHAEL J. COHEN They told us not to wish in the first place, not to aspire, not to try; to be quiet, to play nice, t... J. MICHAEL STRACZYNSKI The most essential prediction of Darwinism is that, given an astronomical number of chances, unintel... MICHAEL J. BEHE The only thing worse than an opportunity you don't deserve is blowing an opportunity. MICHAEL J. FOX What other people think about me is not my business. MICHAEL J. FOX I can get sad, I can get frustrated, I can get scared, but I never get depressed - because there's j... MICHAEL J. FOX If you're lucky, in some point in the future when you're in need of guidance or perhaps moral suppor... MICHAEL J. FOX It's really important to me to keep growing as a writer, to look for new challenges and be harsh... J. MICHAEL STRACZYNSKI If I feel that I'm not able to do my best work - whether that's my own fault or as a result ... J. MICHAEL STRACZYNSKI Verily, for nine hundred years have I lost. Everyone I knew is dead, the empire gone, and who knows ... MICHAEL J. SULLIVAN If this hast been done to language, I fear to know the fate of all else. MICHAEL J. SULLIVAN When I was younger, I was always described as happy-go-lucky. MICHAEL J. FOX On the Internet, inside information is currency, and there will always be counterfeiters among us. J. MICHAEL STRACZYNSKI You don’t win battles with hate. Anger and hate can make you brave, make you strong, but they also... MICHAEL J. SULLIVAN I had all the usual ambition growing up. I wanted to be a writer, a musician, a hockey player. I wan... MICHAEL J. FOX There was a point when comics were considered to be mainly of interest to kids, and it was decided t... J. MICHAEL STRACZYNSKI The rumor mill will always grind the grain of misinformation into the flour of untruth and the peopl... J. MICHAEL BREWER I don't have any affirmations, I don't have any of that stuff. My natural state is to look a... MICHAEL J. FOX The whole point of having great characters is the opportunity to explore them more deeply with time,... J. MICHAEL STRACZYNSKI Some of the best friends you'll ever meet in your life, you'll meet though your children--mothers an... MICHAEL J. FOX Real arms races are run by highly intelligent, bespectacled engineers in glass offices thoughtfully ... MICHAEL J. BEHE The result of these cumulative efforts to investigate the cell—to investigate life at the molecula... MICHAEL J. BEHE Is the conclusion that the universe was designed - and that the design extends deeply into life - sc... MICHAEL J. BEHE The conclusion of intelligent design flows naturally from the data itself—not from sacred books or... MICHAEL J. BEHE Random mutations much more easily debilitate genes than improve them, and that this is true even of ... MICHAEL J. BEHE There's a lot of comics writers out there whose work I appreciate and who are nice guys. I reall... J. MICHAEL STRACZYNSKI You've probably read in People that I'm a nice guy - but when the doctor first told me I had... MICHAEL J. FOX Everyone stared in shock at the pool of white robes and the bright-red blood that began to stain the... MICHAEL J. SULLIVAN First and foremost, the chicken was flooded with bad omens in the same overwhelming manner that Suri... MICHAEL J. SULLIVAN A wise man once told me no man can escape death, but it’s how we run that defines us. And if I hav... MICHAEL J. SULLIVAN It was like waiting for the sunrise and a chicken to hatch— if the sun marked the end of the world... MICHAEL J. SULLIVAN Ferrol’s Law was created for ordinary Fhrey, not the Miralyith,” Gryndal said. “The Art has el... MICHAEL J. SULLIVAN Well, do you still make that marvelous wine? The pale red one, with a hint of nuts? I’ve boasted a... MICHAEL J. SULLIVAN Do you see the butterfly?” Suri grinned with enthusiasm. “Yes, I see it, but—” �... MICHAEL J. SULLIVAN I want to know how long we have before he rises. If I cut off his head, will he stay down longer?”... MICHAEL J. SULLIVAN Freedom, he discovered, had built a greater prison than his family or clan had. MICHAEL J. SULLIVAN How are you speaking?” Gryndal asked. “With my mouth,” she said. “Does everyone play th... MICHAEL J. SULLIVAN Remember, it’s easier to believe an outlandish lie confirming what you suspect than the most obvio... MICHAEL J. SULLIVAN What length will a mother go to on behalf of her child? How long is time? What is the depth of love?... MICHAEL J. SULLIVAN Strange game, this stating the obvious,” Suri said, shaking her head. She got up and joined Minna ... MICHAEL J. SULLIVAN Why are you here?” “Oh— I came to tell the chieftain we’re going to die.” The girl sa... MICHAEL J. SULLIVAN Caught early enough, the waking forest had no time to disguise itself into something mundane. This w... MICHAEL J. SULLIVAN Sunlight had a way of showing the realities that shadows born of firelight hid. The MICHAEL J. SULLIVAN No god, goddess, or spirit would ever inhabit or employ a chicken. MICHAEL J. SULLIVAN That night there was more than one killer in the forest, the next day a lot more ghosts.--The Book o... MICHAEL J. SULLIVAN When faced with certain death, running is sensible, but I think a man can make an unhealthy habit of... MICHAEL J. SULLIVAN Suri had a wolf named Minna. They were the best of friends and roamed the forest together. She had t... MICHAEL J. SULLIVAN Power doesn't equal worth. Wisdom is a far greater virtue. MICHAEL J. SULLIVAN Spring had let go of Winter's hand and was reaching out to Summer MICHAEL J. SULLIVAN That’s what a good wife does, keeps your dreams alive even when you don’t believe anymore. MICHAEL J. SULLIVAN And if you can't trust an ancient talking tree, what was the point of having one? MICHAEL J. SULLIVAN Fulfillment comes from striving to succeed, to survive by your own wits and strength. Such things ma... MICHAEL J. SULLIVAN