The decline in stocks yesterday was not the start of a trend. At this level investors should sell bonds.

The chances of 10-year yields soaring above 1.6 percent are high. Ten- year bonds look expensive compared with five-years and so it could take some time for dealers to sell all the bonds onto investors.

The sell-off in the bond markets, not only here, but in global bonds, is scaring a lot of investors. At the same time, we are seeing a rotation from some of last year's bigger gainers, such as the energy companies, and people are just taking profits on those big names.

I've long loved balanced funds, especially for skittish investors, because the bonds mask the volatility of the stocks. When I was doing financial planning, I saw that people often had a hard time keeping in mind the overall portfolio, and a balanced fund kind of forces them to do that.

The upside for bonds will be heavy. Unless there is a sudden slowdown in overseas economies, Japan's economy will probably extend its recovery.

Support from a lack of new supply will be short-lived.